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ナシオナル・モンテビデオ・リザーブ vs モンテビデオ・ワンダラーズ・リザーブ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.57 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利42%
引き分け28%
アウェイ勝利30%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利42% selection probability
Projected score2–1ナシオナル・モンテビデオ・リザーブモンテビデオ・ワンダラーズ・リザーブ
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー53% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
42% / 28% / 30%試合結果ホーム勝利42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)ダブルチャンス1272.1%1.39
オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%Goals 2.5アンダー53%1.89
はい 49% · いいえ 51%両チーム得点いいえ51%1.96
2.57 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.3 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapナシオナル・モンテビデオ・リザーブ winDifference+0.5 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ナシオナル・モンテビデオ・リザーブ win42%2.382.2041.5%+0.5 pp
引き分け28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
モンテビデオ・ワンダラーズ・リザーブ win30%3.333.0030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ナシオナル・モンテビデオ・リザーブ1.63

ホーム share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 47% · アンダー 53%

モンテビデオ・ワンダラーズ・リザーブ0.94

アウェイ share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 49% · いいえ 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

ナシオナル・モンテビデオ・リザーブ

2.60pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn1Losses0ポイント13

Signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

モンテビデオ・ワンダラーズ・リザーブ

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
勝ち probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
0.94
ナシオナル・モンテビデオ・リザーブモンテビデオ・ワンダラーズ・リザーブ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ナシオナル・モンテビデオ・リザーブ signalホーム unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02モンテビデオ・ワンダラーズ・リザーブ signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

ナシオナル・モンテビデオ・リザーブ vs モンテビデオ・ワンダラーズ・リザーブ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ナシオナル・モンテビデオ・リザーブ 勝ち 42%,引き分け 28%,モンテビデオ・ワンダラーズ・リザーブ 勝ち 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · オーバー 2.5 47% · Current selection アンダー