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URY Uruguai - Liga de Reservas · Partida ·

Club Nacional de Football - Reservas vs Montevideo Wanderers - Reservas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score2–12.57 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa42%
Empate28%
Vitória visitante30%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Club Nacional de Football - ReservasMontevideo Wanderers - Reservas
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo53% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
42% / 28% / 30%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Dupla Chance1272.1%1.39
Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%Goals 2.5Abaixo53%1.89
Sim 49% · Não 51%Ambas as equipes marcamNão51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsPlacar exato2–1
9.3 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapClub Nacional de Football - Reservas winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Nacional de Football - Reservas win42%2.382.2041.5%+0.5 pp
Empate28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
Montevideo Wanderers - Reservas win30%3.333.0030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Nacional de Football - Reservas1.63

Mandante share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%

Montevideo Wanderers - Reservas0.94

Visitante share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitSim 49% · Não 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Club Nacional de Football - Reservas

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Montevideo Wanderers - Reservas

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
0.94
Club Nacional de Football - ReservasMontevideo Wanderers - Reservas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Nacional de Football - Reservas signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montevideo Wanderers - Reservas signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Club Nacional de Football - Reservas vs Montevideo Wanderers - Reservas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Nacional de Football - Reservas ganhou 42%,Empate 28%,Montevideo Wanderers - Reservas ganhou 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Acima 2.5 47% · Current selection Abaixo