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URY Uruguai - Liga de Reservas · Partida ·

Juventud de Las Piedras - Reservas vs Defensor Sporting - Reservas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa37%
Empate26%
Vitória visitante37%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventud de Las Piedras - ReservasDefensor Sporting - Reservas
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo53% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
37% / 26% / 37%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Dupla Chance1274%1.35
Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%Goals 2.5Abaixo53%1.89
Sim 51% · Não 49%Ambas as equipes marcamSim51%1.96
2.55 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
9.6 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapJuventud de Las Piedras - Reservas winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juventud de Las Piedras - Reservas win37%2.702.4037.8%-0.8 pp
Empate26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Defensor Sporting - Reservas win37%2.702.5036.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventud de Las Piedras - Reservas1.05

Mandante share of expected goals 41.2%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 47% · Abaixo 53%

Defensor Sporting - Reservas1.50

Visitante share of expected goals 58.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 51% · Não 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Juventud de Las Piedras - Reservas

1.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Pontos5

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Defensor Sporting - Reservas

2.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Pontos13

SignalMandante unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
37%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.05
Expected goals
1.50
Juventud de Las Piedras - ReservasDefensor Sporting - Reservas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventud de Las Piedras - Reservas signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensor Sporting - Reservas signalMandante unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Juventud de Las Piedras - Reservas vs Defensor Sporting - Reservas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventud de Las Piedras - Reservas ganhou 37%,Empate 26%,Defensor Sporting - Reservas ganhou 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Acima 2.5 47% · Current selection Abaixo