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URY Uruguay - Lega Riserve · Partita ·

Juventud De Las Piedras riserve vs Defensor Sporting riserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa37%
Pareggio26%
Vittoria ospite37%
Full model forecastVittoria ospiteTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria ospite37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventud De Las Piedras riserveDefensor Sporting riserve
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
37% / 26% / 37%Esito partitaVittoria ospite37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Doppia Chance1274%1.35
Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%Goals 2.5Sotto53%1.89
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.55 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapJuventud De Las Piedras riserve winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juventud De Las Piedras riserve win37%2.702.4037.8%-0.8 pp
Pareggio26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Defensor Sporting riserve win37%2.702.5036.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventud De Las Piedras riserve1.05

Casa share of expected goals 41.2%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%

Defensor Sporting riserve1.50

Trasferta share of expected goals 58.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Juventud De Las Piedras riserve

1.00pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punti5

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Defensor Sporting riserve

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vinta probability excluding draw
37%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.05
Expected goals
1.50
Juventud De Las Piedras riserveDefensor Sporting riserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventud De Las Piedras riserve signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensor Sporting riserve signalCasa unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Juventud De Las Piedras riserve vs Defensor Sporting riserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventud De Las Piedras riserve vinta 37%,Pareggio 26%,Defensor Sporting riserve vinta 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Sopra 2.5 47% · Current selection Sotto