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URY Uruguay Reserve League · Fixture ·

Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves vs Defensor Sporting Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.55 expected goals
Away form
Home win37%
Draw26%
Away win37%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Juventud De Las Piedras ReservesDefensor Sporting Reserves
Expected goals2.55Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
37% / 26% / 37%Match resultAway win37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Double chance1274%1.35
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.55 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.2%Largest probability gapJuventud De Las Piedras Reserves winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves win37%2.702.4037.8%-0.8 pp
Draw26%3.853.5025.9%+0.1 pp
Defensor Sporting Reserves win37%2.702.5036.3%+0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves1.05

Home share of expected goals 41.2%

Total expected goals2.55Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

Defensor Sporting Reserves1.50

Away share of expected goals 58.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Defensor Sporting Reserves

2.60pts / match
Played5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Points13

SignalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Win probability excluding draw
37%
5
Points from supplied form
13
1.05
Expected goals
1.50
Juventud De Las Piedras ReservesDefensor Sporting Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Defensor Sporting Reserves signalHome unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves vs Defensor Sporting Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Juventud De Las Piedras Reserves win 37%,Draw 26%,Defensor Sporting Reserves win 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.55 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under