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URY Uruguay Reserve League · Fixture ·

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves vs Albion FC Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–12.60 expected goals
Away form
Home win49%
Draw27%
Away win23%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 49% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win49% selection probability
Projected score2–1Racing Club de Montevideo ReservesAlbion FC Reserves
Expected goals2.60Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under52% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
49% / 27% / 23%Match resultHome win49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Albion FC Reserves win (23.3%)Double chance1X76.7%1.30
Over 48% · Under 52%Goals 2.5Under52%1.92
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.60 total expected goalsCorrect score2–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapRacing Club de Montevideo Reserves winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves win49%2.041.8349.4%-0.4 pp
Draw27%3.703.3027.4%-0.4 pp
Albion FC Reserves win23%4.353.9023.2%-0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves1.57

Home share of expected goals 60.4%

Total expected goals2.60Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 48% · Under 52%

Albion FC Reserves1.03

Away share of expected goals 39.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Albion FC Reserves

0.60pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Points3

SignalHome failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Win probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
3
1.57
Expected goals
1.03
Racing Club de Montevideo ReservesAlbion FC Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Albion FC Reserves signalHome failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves vs Albion FC Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Racing Club de Montevideo Reserves win 49%,Draw 27%,Albion FC Reserves win 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.60 · Over 2.5 48% · Current selection Under