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URY Uruguay Reserve League · Fixture ·

Boston River Reserves vs Liverpool Montevideo Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score2–23.32 expected goals
Away form
Home win36%
Draw27%
Away win36%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 36% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win36% selection probability
Projected score2–2Boston River ReservesLiverpool Montevideo Reserves
Expected goals3.32Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over64% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
36% / 27% / 36%Match resultHome win36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.4%)Double chance1272.6%1.38
Over 64% · Under 36%Goals 2.5Over64%1.56
Yes 66% · No 34%Both teams scoreYes66%1.52
3.32 total expected goalsCorrect score2–2
9.5 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.8%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Boston River Reserves win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp
Draw27%3.703.2527.8%-0.8 pp
Liverpool Montevideo Reserves win36%2.782.5036.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Boston River Reserves1.69

Home share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals3.32Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 64% · Under 36%

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves1.63

Away share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitYes 66% · No 34%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Boston River Reserves

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Away-context · form sequence

Liverpool Montevideo Reserves

1.60pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Points8

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Win probability excluding draw
36%
4
Points from supplied form
8
1.69
Expected goals
1.63
Boston River ReservesLiverpool Montevideo Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Boston River Reserves signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liverpool Montevideo Reserves signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Boston River Reserves vs Liverpool Montevideo Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 2–2 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Boston River Reserves win 36%,Draw 27%,Liverpool Montevideo Reserves win 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.32 · Over 2.5 64% · Current selection Over