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URY Uruguay - Lega Riserve · Partita ·

Nacional de Football riserve vs Montevideo Wanderers riserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Casa form
Projected score2–12.57 expected goals
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa42%
Pareggio28%
Vittoria ospite30%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa42% selection probability
Projected score2–1Nacional de Football riserveMontevideo Wanderers riserve
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto53% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
42% / 28% / 30%Esito partitaVittoria casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.9%)Doppia Chance1272.1%1.39
Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%Goals 2.5Sotto53%1.89
Sì 49% · No 51%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo51%1.96
2.57 total expected goalsRisultato esatto2–1
9.3 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.6%Largest probability gapNacional de Football riserve winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Nacional de Football riserve win42%2.382.2041.5%+0.5 pp
Pareggio28%3.573.2528.1%-0.1 pp
Montevideo Wanderers riserve win30%3.333.0030.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Nacional de Football riserve1.63

Casa share of expected goals 63.4%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 47% · Sotto 53%

Montevideo Wanderers riserve0.94

Trasferta share of expected goals 36.6%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 49% · No 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Nacional de Football riserve

2.60pts / match
Giocate5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punti13

SignalCasa unbeaten 5/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Montevideo Wanderers riserve

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vinta probability excluding draw
30%
13
Points from supplied form
7
1.63
Expected goals
0.94
Nacional de Football riserveMontevideo Wanderers riserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Nacional de Football riserve signalCasa unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Montevideo Wanderers riserve signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Nacional de Football riserve vs Montevideo Wanderers riserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Nacional de Football riserve vinta 42%,Pareggio 28%,Montevideo Wanderers riserve vinta 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Sopra 2.5 47% · Current selection Sotto