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URY Уругвай - Лига на Резервите · Мач ·

Пенярол резерви vs Серо Ларго резерви

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина67%
Равен20%
Победа за госта13%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина67% selection probability
Projected score2–1Пенярол резервиСеро Ларго резерви
Expected goals3.08Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над60% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
67% / 20% / 13%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Серо Ларго резерви win (13.4%)Двоен шанс1X86.6%1.15
Над 60% · Под 40%Goals 2.5Над60%1.67
Да 45% · Не 55%И двата отбора да отбележатНе55%1.82
3.08 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.1 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapПенярол резерви winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Пенярол резерви win67%1.491.3666.2%+0.8 pp
Равен20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Серо Ларго резерви win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Пенярол резерви2.39

Домакин share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals3.08Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 60% · Под 40%

Серо Ларго резерви0.69

Гост share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Не 55%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Пенярол резерви

1.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Точки8

SignalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Серо Ларго резерви

0.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Точки0

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
13%
8
Points from supplied form
0
2.39
Expected goals
0.69
Пенярол резервиСеро Ларго резерви
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Пенярол резерви signalДомакин unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Серо Ларго резерви signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Пенярол резерви vs Серо Ларго резерви FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Пенярол резерви печеливш 67%,Равен 20%,Серо Ларго резерви печеливш 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Над 2.5 60% · Current selection Над