Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
62% / 21% / 17%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Серро-Ларго - Резерв win (17.2%)Двойной шанс1X82.8%1.21
Больше 60% · Меньше 40%Goals 2.5Больше60%1.67
Да 45% · Нет 55%Обе забьютНет55%1.82
3.08 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1——
9.1 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapПенарол - Резерв winDifference+1.3 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Пенарол - Резерв win62%1.611.5060.7%+1.3 pp
Ничья21%4.764.3321%0.0 pp
Серро-Ларго - Резерв win17%5.885.0018.2%-1.2 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Хозяева share of expected goals 77.6%
Total expected goals3.08Открытие
Dedicated goals model: Больше 60% · Меньше 40%
Гости share of expected goals 22.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 45% · Нет 55%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Хозяева-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchПенарол - Резерв
WDLDW
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Баллы8
SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5
Гости-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchСерро-Ларго - Резерв
LLLLL
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Баллы0
SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
62%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
17%8
Points from supplied form
02.39
Expected goals
0.69Пенарол - РезервСерро-Ларго - Резерв
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 21%.
Match questions
Пенарол - Резерв vs Серро-Ларго - Резерв FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Пенарол - Резерв выигрыш 62%，Ничья 21%，Серро-Ларго - Резерв выигрыш 17%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.08 · ТБ 2.5 60% · Current selection Больше。