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URY Uruguay Reserve League · Kamp ·

Penarol reserver vs Cerro Largo Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–13.08 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier67%
Uavgjort20%
Borteseier13%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 67% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier67% selection probability
Projected score2–1Penarol reserverCerro Largo Reserves
Expected goals3.08Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over60% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerNei55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
67% / 20% / 13%KampresultatHjemmeseier67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro Largo Reserves win (13.4%)Dobbel sjanse1X86.6%1.15
Over 60% · Under 40%Goals 2.5Over60%1.67
Ja 45% · Nei 55%Begge lag scorerNei55%1.82
3.08 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapPenarol reserver winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseRettferdig oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Penarol reserver win67%1.491.3666.2%+0.8 pp
Uavgjort20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Cerro Largo Reserves win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Penarol reserver2.39

Hjemme share of expected goals 77.6%

Total expected goals3.08Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 60% · Under 40%

Cerro Largo Reserves0.69

Borte share of expected goals 22.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nei 55%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Penarol reserver

1.60pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Poeng8

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Cerro Largo Reserves

0.00pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Poeng0

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
67%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
13%
8
Points from supplied form
0
2.39
Expected goals
0.69
Penarol reserverCerro Largo Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Penarol reserver signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cerro Largo Reserves signalHjemme clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk33% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Penarol reserver vs Cerro Largo Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Penarol reserver vunnet 67%,Uavgjort 20%,Cerro Largo Reserves vunnet 13%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.08 · Over 2.5 60% · Current selection Over