Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
67% / 20% / 13%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst67%1.49
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cerro Largo - Reserves win (13.4%)Dubbele Kans1X86.6%1.15
Boven 60% · Onder 40%Goals 2.5Boven60%1.67
Ja 45% · Nee 55%Beide teams scorenNee55%1.82
3.08 total expected goalsExacte score2–1——
9.1 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapPenarol - Reserves winDifference+0.8 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Penarol - Reserves win67%1.491.3666.2%+0.8 pp
Gelijkspel20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Cerro Largo - Reserves win13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 77.6%
Total expected goals3.08Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 60% · Onder 40%
Uit share of expected goals 22.4%
Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nee 55%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.60pts / matchPenarol - Reserves
WDLDW
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punten8
SignalThuis unbeaten 4/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.00pts / matchCerro Largo - Reserves
LLLLL
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punten0
SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
67%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
13%8
Points from supplied form
02.39
Expected goals
0.69Penarol - ReservesCerro Largo - Reserves
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 20%.
Match questions
Penarol - Reserves vs Cerro Largo - Reserves FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 67% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Penarol - Reserves gewonnen 67%，Gelijkspel 20%，Cerro Largo - Reserves gewonnen 13%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.08 · Boven 2.5 60% · Current selection Boven。