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URY Uruguay - Ligue réserve · Match ·

Club Oriental - Réserves vs La Luz - Réserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score1–12.53 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile22%
Nul27%
Victoire à l’extérieur51%
Full model forecastVictoire à l’extérieurTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à l’extérieur51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Oriental - RéservesLa Luz - Réserves
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de53% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
22% / 27% / 51%Résultat du matchVictoire à l’extérieur51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Oriental - Réserves win (22.4%)Double chanceX277.6%1.29
Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%Goals 2.5Moins de53%1.89
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.53 total expected goalsScore exact1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Oriental - Réserves win22%4.554.1022%0.0 pp
Nul27%3.703.4026.5%+0.5 pp
La Luz - Réserves win51%1.961.7551.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Oriental - Réserves1.07

Domicile share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 47% · Moins de 53%

La Luz - Réserves1.46

Extérieur share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Club Oriental - Réserves

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

La Luz - Réserves

1.20pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Gagné probability excluding draw
51%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.07
Expected goals
1.46
Club Oriental - RéservesLa Luz - Réserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Oriental - Réserves signalDomicile matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Luz - Réserves signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Club Oriental - Réserves vs La Luz - Réserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à l’extérieur · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Oriental - Réserves victoire 22%,Nul 27%,La Luz - Réserves victoire 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Plus de 2.5 47% · Current selection Moins de