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URY Uruguay Reserve League · Fixture ·

Club Oriental Reserves vs La Luz Reserves

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.53 expected goals
Away form
Home win22%
Draw27%
Away win51%
Full model forecastAway winTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAway win51% selection probability
Projected score1–1Club Oriental ReservesLa Luz Reserves
Expected goals2.53Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Under53% for the selected side
Both teams scoreYes51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
22% / 27% / 51%Match resultAway win51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Oriental Reserves win (22.4%)Double chanceX277.6%1.29
Over 47% · Under 53%Goals 2.5Under53%1.89
Yes 51% · No 49%Both teams scoreYes51%1.96
2.53 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.1 expected match cornersCornersUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.9%Largest probability gapDrawDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Club Oriental Reserves win22%4.554.1022%0.0 pp
Draw27%3.703.4026.5%+0.5 pp
La Luz Reserves win51%1.961.7551.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Club Oriental Reserves1.07

Home share of expected goals 42.3%

Total expected goals2.53Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 47% · Under 53%

La Luz Reserves1.46

Away share of expected goals 57.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Club Oriental Reserves

1.00pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

La Luz Reserves

1.20pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Points6

SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Win probability excluding draw
51%
5
Points from supplied form
6
1.07
Expected goals
1.46
Club Oriental ReservesLa Luz Reserves
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Club Oriental Reserves signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Luz Reserves signalHome clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Club Oriental Reserves vs La Luz Reserves FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Club Oriental Reserves win 22%,Draw 27%,La Luz Reserves win 51%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.53 · Over 2.5 47% · Current selection Under