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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca

Prediction review

Chủ nhà form
Final score1–0Dự đoán 3–1
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng73%
Hòa18%
Đội khách thắng9%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 73% selection probability
Prediction Trúng
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Expected goals3.59Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài69% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
73% / 18% / 9%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UTC Cajamarca win (8.8%)Cơ hội kép1X91.2%1.10
Tài 69% · Xỉu 31%Goals 2.5Tài69%1.45
Có 42% · Không 58%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông58%1.72
3.59 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác3–1
7.9 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapAlianza Lima winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza Lima win73%1.371.2972.1%+0.9 pp
Hòa18%5.565.0018.6%-0.6 pp
UTC Cajamarca win9%11.1110.009.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza Lima3.01

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 83.8%

Total expected goals3.59Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 69% · Xỉu 31%

UTC Cajamarca0.58

Khách share of expected goals 16.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS split 42% · Không 58%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Alianza Lima

1.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Điểm9

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Điểm3

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Thắng probability excluding draw
9%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.01
Expected goals
0.58
Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza Lima signalChủ nhà unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UTC Cajamarca signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza Lima thắng 73%,Hòa 18%,UTC Cajamarca thắng 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Tài 2.5 69% · Current selection Tài