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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca

Prediction review

Gazde form
Final score1–0Predicție 3–1
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde73%
Egal18%
Victorie oaspeți9%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 73% selection probability
Prediction Câștigat
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Expected goals3.59Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste69% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
73% / 18% / 9%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UTC Cajamarca win (8.8%)Șansă dublă1X91.2%1.10
Peste 69% · Sub 31%Goals 2.5Peste69%1.45
Da 42% · Nu 58%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu58%1.72
3.59 total expected goalsScor corect3–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapAlianza Lima winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza Lima win73%1.371.2972.1%+0.9 pp
Egal18%5.565.0018.6%-0.6 pp
UTC Cajamarca win9%11.1110.009.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza Lima3.01

Gazde share of expected goals 83.8%

Total expected goals3.59Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 69% · Sub 31%

UTC Cajamarca0.58

Oaspeți share of expected goals 16.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitDa 42% · Nu 58%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Alianza Lima

1.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Puncte9

SignalGazde unbeaten 5/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Jucate5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Puncte3

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Câștig probability excluding draw
9%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.01
Expected goals
0.58
Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza Lima signalGazde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UTC Cajamarca signalGazde matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza Lima câștig 73%,Egal 18%,UTC Cajamarca câștig 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Peste 2.5 69% · Current selection Peste