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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Алианза Лима vs УТК Кахамарка

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–0Прогноз 3–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев73%
Ничья18%
Победа гостей9%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 73% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Алианза ЛимаУТК Кахамарка
Expected goals3.59Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше69% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
73% / 18% / 9%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes УТК Кахамарка win (8.8%)Двойной шанс1X91.2%1.10
Больше 69% · Меньше 31%Goals 2.5Больше69%1.45
Да 42% · Нет 58%Обе забьютНет58%1.72
3.59 total expected goalsТочный счёт3–1
7.9 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapАлианза Лима winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Алианза Лима win73%1.371.2972.1%+0.9 pp
Ничья18%5.565.0018.6%-0.6 pp
УТК Кахамарка win9%11.1110.009.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Алианза Лима3.01

Хозяева share of expected goals 83.8%

Total expected goals3.59Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 69% · Меньше 31%

УТК Кахамарка0.58

Гости share of expected goals 16.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitДа 42% · Нет 58%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Алианза Лима

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Баллы9

SignalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

Гости-context · form sequence

УТК Кахамарка

0.60pts / match
Сыграно5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Баллы3

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
9%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.01
Expected goals
0.58
Алианза ЛимаУТК Кахамарка
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Алианза Лима signalХозяева unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02УТК Кахамарка signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Алианза Лима vs УТК Кахамарка FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Алианза Лима выигрыш 73%,Ничья 18%,УТК Кахамарка выигрыш 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · ТБ 2.5 69% · Current selection Больше