MatchFormula Trouver un match
Menu
UTC+8
Fuseau horaireAsia/Shanghai
Français
INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca

Prediction review

Domicile form
Final score1–0Pronostic 3–1
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile73%
Nul18%
Victoire à l’extérieur9%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 73% selection probability
Prediction Gagné
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Expected goals3.59Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de69% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
73% / 18% / 9%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UTC Cajamarca win (8.8%)Double chance1X91.2%1.10
Plus de 69% · Moins de 31%Goals 2.5Plus de69%1.45
Oui 42% · Non 58%Les deux équipes marquentNon58%1.72
3.59 total expected goalsScore exact3–1
7.9 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapAlianza Lima winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza Lima win73%1.371.2972.1%+0.9 pp
Nul18%5.565.0018.6%-0.6 pp
UTC Cajamarca win9%11.1110.009.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza Lima3.01

Domicile share of expected goals 83.8%

Total expected goals3.59Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 69% · Moins de 31%

UTC Cajamarca0.58

Extérieur share of expected goals 16.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitOui 42% · Non 58%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Alianza Lima

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Points9

SignalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Joués5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Points3

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Gagné probability excluding draw
9%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.01
Expected goals
0.58
Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza Lima signalDomicile unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UTC Cajamarca signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza Lima victoire 73%,Nul 18%,UTC Cajamarca victoire 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Plus de 2.5 69% · Current selection Plus de