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INT Peru Liga 1 · Match ·

Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile39%
Nul28%
Victoire à l’extérieur33%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile39% selection probability
Projected score2–1CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Moins de55% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentNon52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
39% / 28% / 33%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Double chance1271.6%1.40
Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%Goals 2.5Moins de55%1.82
Oui 48% · Non 52%Les deux équipes marquentNon52%1.92
2.49 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapCienciano winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cienciano win39%2.562.4537.8%+1.2 pp
Nul28%3.573.2528.5%-0.5 pp
Deportivo Garcilaso win33%3.032.7533.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cienciano1.60

Domicile share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 45% · Moins de 55%

Deportivo Garcilaso0.89

Extérieur share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 48% · Non 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Cienciano

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Deportivo Garcilaso

2.40pts / match
Joués5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Points12

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gagné probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
12
1.60
Expected goals
0.89
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cienciano signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Garcilaso signalDomicile clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cienciano victoire 39%,Nul 28%,Deportivo Garcilaso victoire 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Plus de 2.5 45% · Current selection Moins de