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INT Peru Liga 1 · Partido ·

Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local39%
Empate28%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local39% selection probability
Projected score2–1CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
39% / 28% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Doble Oportunidad1271.6%1.40
Más de 45% · Menos de 55%Goals 2.5Menos de55%1.82
Sí 48% · No 52%Ambos equipos marcanNo52%1.92
2.49 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
8.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapCienciano winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cienciano win39%2.562.4537.8%+1.2 pp
Empate28%3.573.2528.5%-0.5 pp
Deportivo Garcilaso win33%3.032.7533.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cienciano1.60

Local share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 45% · Menos de 55%

Deportivo Garcilaso0.89

Visitante share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · No 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Cienciano

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Deportivo Garcilaso

2.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puntos12

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
12
1.60
Expected goals
0.89
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cienciano signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Garcilaso signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cienciano ganada 39%,Empate 28%,Deportivo Garcilaso ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Más de 2.5 45% · Current selection Menos de