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INT 秘魯足球甲級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

斯恩斯拿奴 vs 加西拉索競技

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝39%
28%
客勝33%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝39% selection probability
Projected score2–1斯恩斯拿奴加西拉索競技
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.555% for the selected side
雙方進球52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
39% / 28% / 33%比賽結果主勝39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)雙重機會1271.6%1.40
大 45% · 小 55%Goals 2.555%1.82
是 48% · 否 52%雙方進球52%1.92
2.49 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.5 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gap斯恩斯拿奴 winDifference+1.2 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
斯恩斯拿奴 win39%2.562.4537.8%+1.2 pp
28%3.573.2528.5%-0.5 pp
加西拉索競技 win33%3.032.7533.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

斯恩斯拿奴1.60

主隊 share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 45% · 55%

加西拉索競技0.89

客隊 share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 48% · 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

斯恩斯拿奴

1.80pts / match
5Wins3Drawn0Losses2積分9

Signal主隊 won 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

加西拉索競技

2.40pts / match
5Wins4Drawn0Losses1積分12

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
贏 probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
12
1.60
Expected goals
0.89
斯恩斯拿奴加西拉索競技
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01斯恩斯拿奴 signal主隊 won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02加西拉索競技 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

斯恩斯拿奴 vs 加西拉索競技 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

斯恩斯拿奴 39%, 28%,加西拉索競技 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · 大2.5 45% · Current selection