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INT Peru Liga 1 · Mérkőzés ·

Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem39%
Döntetlen28%
Vendég győzelem33%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem39% selection probability
Projected score2–1CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alatt55% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
39% / 28% / 33%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Dupla esély1271.6%1.40
Felett 45% · Alatt 55%Goals 2.5Alatt55%1.82
Igen 48% · Nem 52%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem52%1.92
2.49 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
8.5 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapCienciano winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cienciano win39%2.562.4537.8%+1.2 pp
Döntetlen28%3.573.2528.5%-0.5 pp
Deportivo Garcilaso win33%3.032.7533.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cienciano1.60

Hazai share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 45% · Alatt 55%

Deportivo Garcilaso0.89

Vendég share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 48% · Nem 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Cienciano

1.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Pontok9

SignalHazai won 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Deportivo Garcilaso

2.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontok12

SignalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Nyert probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
12
1.60
Expected goals
0.89
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cienciano signalHazai won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Garcilaso signalHazai clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cienciano nyer 39%,Döntetlen 28%,Deportivo Garcilaso nyer 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · 2.5 felett 45% · Current selection Alatt