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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca

Prediction review

Hazai form
Final score1–0Előrejelzés 3–1
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem73%
Döntetlen18%
Vendég győzelem9%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 73% selection probability
Prediction Nyert
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Expected goals3.59Nyitó match profile
Goals 2.5Felett69% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Alatt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
73% / 18% / 9%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UTC Cajamarca win (8.8%)Dupla esély1X91.2%1.10
Felett 69% · Alatt 31%Goals 2.5Felett69%1.45
Igen 42% · Nem 58%Mindkét csapat szerez góltNem58%1.72
3.59 total expected goalsPontos eredmény3–1
7.9 expected match cornersSzögletekAlatt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapAlianza Lima winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza Lima win73%1.371.2972.1%+0.9 pp
Döntetlen18%5.565.0018.6%-0.6 pp
UTC Cajamarca win9%11.1110.009.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza Lima3.01

Hazai share of expected goals 83.8%

Total expected goals3.59Nyitó

Dedicated goals model: Felett 69% · Alatt 31%

UTC Cajamarca0.58

Vendég share of expected goals 16.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitIgen 42% · Nem 58%Match profileNyitó
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Alianza Lima

1.80pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontok9

SignalHazai unbeaten 5/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontok3

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Nyert probability excluding draw
9%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.01
Expected goals
0.58
Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza Lima signalHazai unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UTC Cajamarca signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza Lima nyer 73%,Döntetlen 18%,UTC Cajamarca nyer 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · 2.5 felett 69% · Current selection Felett