Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
73% / 18% / 9%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UTC Cajamarca win (8.8%)Dubbele Kans1X91.2%1.10
Boven 69% · Onder 31%Goals 2.5Boven69%1.45
Ja 42% · Nee 58%Beide teams scorenNee58%1.72
3.59 total expected goalsExacte score3–1——
7.9 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapAlianza Lima winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza Lima win73%1.371.2972.1%+0.9 pp
Gelijkspel18%5.565.0018.6%-0.6 pp
UTC Cajamarca win9%11.1110.009.3%-0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Thuis share of expected goals 83.8%
Total expected goals3.59Openen
Dedicated goals model: Boven 69% · Onder 31%
Uit share of expected goals 16.2%
Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nee 58%Match profileOpenen
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Thuis-context · form sequence
1.80pts / matchAlianza Lima
DWDWD
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punten9
SignalThuis unbeaten 5/5
Uit-context · form sequence
0.60pts / matchUTC Cajamarca
DLDLD
Gespeeld5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punten3
SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 3/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
73%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
9%9
Points from supplied form
33.01
Expected goals
0.58Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 18%.
Match questions
Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Alianza Lima gewonnen 73%，Gelijkspel 18%，UTC Cajamarca gewonnen 9%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 3.59 · Boven 2.5 69% · Current selection Boven。