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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca

Prediction review

Domácí form
Final score1–0Předpověď 3–1
Hosté form
Výhra domácích73%
Remíza18%
Výhra hostů9%
Full model forecastVýhra domácíchTier A · 73% selection probability
Prediction Úspěšná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácích73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Expected goals3.59Otevírací match profile
Goals 2.5Více69% for the selected side
Oba týmy skórujíNe58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Méně 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýběrPravděpodobnostFérový kurz
73% / 18% / 9%Výsledek zápasuVýhra domácích73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UTC Cajamarca win (8.8%)Dvojitá šance1X91.2%1.10
Více 69% · Méně 31%Goals 2.5Více69%1.45
Ano 42% · Ne 58%Oba týmy skórujíNe58%1.72
3.59 total expected goalsPřesné skóre3–1
7.9 expected match cornersRohyMéně 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapAlianza Lima winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePředpověďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza Lima win73%1.371.2972.1%+0.9 pp
Remíza18%5.565.0018.6%-0.6 pp
UTC Cajamarca win9%11.1110.009.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza Lima3.01

Domácí share of expected goals 83.8%

Total expected goals3.59Otevírací

Dedicated goals model: Více 69% · Méně 31%

UTC Cajamarca0.58

Hosté share of expected goals 16.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitAno 42% · Ne 58%Match profileOtevírací
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domácí-context · form sequence

Alianza Lima

1.80pts / match
Odehráno5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Body9

SignalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

Hosté-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Odehráno5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Body3

SignalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Výhra probability excluding draw
9%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.01
Expected goals
0.58
Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza Lima signalDomácí unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UTC Cajamarca signalDomácí matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácích · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza Lima výhra 73%,Remíza 18%,UTC Cajamarca výhra 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Více 2.5 69% · Current selection Více