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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca

Prediction review

Domáci form
Final score1–0Predpoveď 3–1
Hostia form
Výhra domácich73%
Remíza18%
Výhra hostí9%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 73% selection probability
Prediction Úspešná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Expected goals3.59Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac69% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
73% / 18% / 9%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes UTC Cajamarca win (8.8%)Dvojitá šanca1X91.2%1.10
Viac 69% · Menej 31%Goals 2.5Viac69%1.45
Áno 42% · Nie 58%Oba tímy skórujúNie58%1.72
3.59 total expected goalsPresné skóre3–1
7.9 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapAlianza Lima winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza Lima win73%1.371.2972.1%+0.9 pp
Remíza18%5.565.0018.6%-0.6 pp
UTC Cajamarca win9%11.1110.009.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza Lima3.01

Domáci share of expected goals 83.8%

Total expected goals3.59Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 69% · Menej 31%

UTC Cajamarca0.58

Hostia share of expected goals 16.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitÁno 42% · Nie 58%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Alianza Lima

1.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Body9

SignalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

UTC Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Body3

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Výhra probability excluding draw
9%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.01
Expected goals
0.58
Alianza LimaUTC Cajamarca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza Lima signalDomáci unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02UTC Cajamarca signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza Lima výhra 73%,Remíza 18%,UTC Cajamarca výhra 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Viac 2.5 69% · Current selection Viac