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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico

Prediction review

Domáci form
Final score1–1Predpoveď 1–1
Hostia form
Výhra domácich47%
Remíza28%
Výhra hostí26%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction Neúspešná
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich47% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD TarmaAlianza Atletico
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej59% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
47% / 28% / 26%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza Atletico win (25.5%)Dvojitá šanca1X74.5%1.34
Viac 41% · Menej 59%Goals 2.5Menej59%1.69
Áno 47% · Nie 53%Oba tímy skórujúNie53%1.89
2.33 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
8.4 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapAlianza Atletico winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Tarma win47%2.131.9546.9%+0.1 pp
Remíza28%3.573.3027.7%+0.3 pp
Alianza Atletico win26%3.853.6025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Tarma1.35

Domáci share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 41% · Menej 59%

Alianza Atletico0.98

Hostia share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 47% · Nie 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

AD Tarma

0.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Body1

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Alianza Atletico

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Body6

SignalHostia matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Výhra probability excluding draw
26%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.35
Expected goals
0.98
AD TarmaAlianza Atletico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Tarma signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Atletico signalHostia matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Tarma výhra 47%,Remíza 28%,Alianza Atletico výhra 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Viac 2.5 41% · Current selection Menej