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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico

Prediction review

Chủ nhà form
Final score1–1Dự đoán 1–1
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng47%
Hòa28%
Đội khách thắng26%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 47% selection probability
Prediction Trượt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng47% selection probability
Projected score1–1AD TarmaAlianza Atletico
Expected goals2.33Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Xỉu59% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông53% for the selected side
Expected corners8.4Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
47% / 28% / 26%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Alianza Atletico win (25.5%)Cơ hội kép1X74.5%1.34
Tài 41% · Xỉu 59%Goals 2.5Xỉu59%1.69
Có 47% · Không 53%Cả hai đội ghi bànKhông53%1.89
2.33 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác1–1
8.4 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.4%Largest probability gapAlianza Atletico winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
AD Tarma win47%2.131.9546.9%+0.1 pp
Hòa28%3.573.3027.7%+0.3 pp
Alianza Atletico win26%3.853.6025.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

AD Tarma1.35

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 57.9%

Total expected goals2.33Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Tài 41% · Xỉu 59%

Alianza Atletico0.98

Khách share of expected goals 42.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 47% · Không 53%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

AD Tarma

0.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Điểm1

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Alianza Atletico

1.20pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Điểm6

SignalKhách matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Thắng probability excluding draw
26%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.35
Expected goals
0.98
AD TarmaAlianza Atletico
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01AD Tarma signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Alianza Atletico signalKhách matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

AD Tarma vs Alianza Atletico FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

AD Tarma thắng 47%,Hòa 28%,Alianza Atletico thắng 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.33 · Tài 2.5 41% · Current selection Xỉu