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INT Peru Liga 1 · Final ·

Alianza Lima vs Universidad de Cajamarca

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score1–0Previsão 3–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa73%
Empate18%
Vitória visitante9%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 73% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa73% selection probability
Projected score3–1Alianza LimaUniversidad de Cajamarca
Expected goals3.59Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima69% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão58% for the selected side
Expected corners7.9Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
73% / 18% / 9%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Universidad de Cajamarca win (8.8%)Dupla Chance1X91.2%1.10
Acima 69% · Abaixo 31%Goals 2.5Acima69%1.45
Sim 42% · Não 58%Ambas as equipes marcamNão58%1.72
3.59 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–1
7.9 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.5%Largest probability gapAlianza Lima winDifference+0.9 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Alianza Lima win73%1.371.2972.1%+0.9 pp
Empate18%5.565.0018.6%-0.6 pp
Universidad de Cajamarca win9%11.1110.009.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Alianza Lima3.01

Mandante share of expected goals 83.8%

Total expected goals3.59Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 69% · Abaixo 31%

Universidad de Cajamarca0.58

Visitante share of expected goals 16.2%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitSim 42% · Não 58%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Alianza Lima

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontos9

SignalMandante unbeaten 5/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Universidad de Cajamarca

0.60pts / match
Jogos5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Pontos3

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
9%
9
Points from supplied form
3
3.01
Expected goals
0.58
Alianza LimaUniversidad de Cajamarca
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Alianza Lima signalMandante unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Universidad de Cajamarca signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 18%.

Match questions

Alianza Lima vs Universidad de Cajamarca FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 3–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Alianza Lima ganhou 73%,Empate 18%,Universidad de Cajamarca ganhou 9%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.59 · Acima 2.5 69% · Current selection Acima