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INT Peru Liga 1 · Wedstrijd ·

Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst39%
Gelijkspel28%
Uitwinst33%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst39% selection probability
Projected score2–1CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Onder55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenNee52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Onder 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
39% / 28% / 33%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Dubbele Kans1271.6%1.40
Boven 45% · Onder 55%Goals 2.5Onder55%1.82
Ja 48% · Nee 52%Beide teams scorenNee52%1.92
2.49 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
8.5 expected match cornersHoekschoppenOnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapCienciano winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cienciano win39%2.562.4537.8%+1.2 pp
Gelijkspel28%3.573.2528.5%-0.5 pp
Deportivo Garcilaso win33%3.032.7533.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cienciano1.60

Thuis share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 45% · Onder 55%

Deportivo Garcilaso0.89

Uit share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nee 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Cienciano

1.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punten9

SignalThuis won 3/5

Uit-context · form sequence

Deportivo Garcilaso

2.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punten12

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
12
1.60
Expected goals
0.89
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cienciano signalThuis won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Garcilaso signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cienciano gewonnen 39%,Gelijkspel 28%,Deportivo Garcilaso gewonnen 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · Boven 2.5 45% · Current selection Onder