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INT Peru Liga 1 · Maç ·

Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.49 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır39%
Beraberlik28%
Deplasman kazanır33%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır39% selection probability
Projected score2–1CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
Expected goals2.49Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Alt55% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varHayır52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Alt 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
39% / 28% / 33%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.4%)Çifte Şans1271.6%1.40
Üst 45% · Alt 55%Goals 2.5Alt55%1.82
Evet 48% · Hayır 52%Karşılıklı gol varHayır52%1.92
2.49 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
8.5 expected match cornersKornerlerAlt 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.9%Largest probability gapCienciano winDifference+1.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cienciano win39%2.562.4537.8%+1.2 pp
Beraberlik28%3.573.2528.5%-0.5 pp
Deportivo Garcilaso win33%3.032.7533.7%-0.7 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cienciano1.60

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 64.3%

Total expected goals2.49Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 45% · Alt 55%

Deportivo Garcilaso0.89

Deplasman share of expected goals 35.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 48% · Hayır 52%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Cienciano

1.80pts / match
Oynanan5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puan9

SignalEv Sahibi won 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Deportivo Garcilaso

2.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puan12

SignalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
33%
9
Points from supplied form
12
1.60
Expected goals
0.89
CiencianoDeportivo Garcilaso
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cienciano signalEv Sahibi won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportivo Garcilaso signalEv Sahibi clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Cienciano vs Deportivo Garcilaso FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cienciano kazanç 39%,Beraberlik 28%,Deportivo Garcilaso kazanç 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.49 · 2.5 Üst 45% · Current selection Alt