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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Спортинг Ковильян vs Атлетико КП Лиссабон

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score0–3Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев26%
Ничья34%
Победа гостей40%
Full model forecastПобеда гостейTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда гостей40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Спортинг КовильянАтлетико КП Лиссабон
Expected goals1.79Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше73% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
26% / 34% / 40%Исход матчаПобеда гостей40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Спортинг Ковильян win (26.2%)Двойной шансX273.8%1.36
Больше 27% · Меньше 73%Goals 2.5Меньше73%1.37
Да 34% · Нет 66%Обе забьютНет66%1.52
1.79 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
10.1 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
Спортинг Ковильян win26%3.85
Ничья34%2.94
Атлетико КП Лиссабон win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Спортинг Ковильян0.71

Хозяева share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 27% · Меньше 73%

Атлетико КП Лиссабон1.08

Гости share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 34% · Нет 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Спортинг Ковильян

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Баллы6

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Атлетико КП Лиссабон

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.71
Expected goals
1.08
Спортинг КовильянАтлетико КП Лиссабон
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Спортинг Ковильян signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Атлетико КП Лиссабон signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Спортинг Ковильян vs Атлетико КП Лиссабон FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа гостей · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Спортинг Ковильян выигрыш 26%,Ничья 34%,Атлетико КП Лиссабон выигрыш 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.79 · ТБ 2.5 27% · Current selection Меньше