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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Sporting Covilha vs Atlético CP Lisbon

Prediction review

Local form
Final score0–3Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local26%
Empate34%
Victoria visitante40%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sporting CovilhaAtlético CP Lisbon
Expected goals1.79Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de73% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
26% / 34% / 40%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Covilha win (26.2%)Doble OportunidadX273.8%1.36
Más de 27% · Menos de 73%Goals 2.5Menos de73%1.37
Sí 34% · No 66%Ambos equipos marcanNo66%1.52
1.79 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.1 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Sporting Covilha win26%3.85
Empate34%2.94
Atlético CP Lisbon win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting Covilha0.71

Local share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 27% · Menos de 73%

Atlético CP Lisbon1.08

Visitante share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 34% · No 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Sporting Covilha

1.20pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Puntos6

SignalLocal unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Atlético CP Lisbon

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Ganado probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.71
Expected goals
1.08
Sporting CovilhaAtlético CP Lisbon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting Covilha signalLocal unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atlético CP Lisbon signalLocal matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Sporting Covilha vs Atlético CP Lisbon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting Covilha ganada 26%,Empate 34%,Atlético CP Lisbon ganada 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.79 · Más de 2.5 27% · Current selection Menos de