Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
26% / 34% / 40%Esito partitaVittoria ospite40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Covilha win (26.2%)Doppia ChanceX273.8%1.36
Sopra 27% · Sotto 73%Goals 2.5Sotto73%1.37
Sì 34% · No 66%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo66%1.52
1.79 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1——
10.1 expected match cornersCornerSopra 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityQuote eque
Sporting Covilha win26%3.85
Pareggio34%2.94
Atletico CP Lisbona win40%2.50
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Casa share of expected goals 39.7%
Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Sopra 27% · Sotto 73%
Trasferta share of expected goals 60.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitSì 34% · No 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Casa-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSporting Covilha
DWDDL
Giocate5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punti6
SignalCasa unbeaten 4/5
Trasferta-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAtletico CP Lisbona
DWLWL
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7
SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
26%
Vinta probability excluding draw
40%6
Points from supplied form
70.71
Expected goals
1.08Sporting CovilhaAtletico CP Lisbona
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 34%.
Match questions
Sporting Covilha vs Atletico CP Lisbona FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Vittoria ospite · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sporting Covilha vinta 26%，Pareggio 34%，Atletico CP Lisbona vinta 40%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.79 · Sopra 2.5 27% · Current selection Sotto。