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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Sporting Covilhã vs Atlético CP

Prediction review

Mandante form
Final score0–3Previsão 1–1
Visitante form
Vitória da casa26%
Empate34%
Vitória visitante40%
Full model forecastVitória visitanteTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Acertou
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória visitante40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sporting CovilhãAtlético CP
Expected goals1.79Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo73% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
26% / 34% / 40%Resultado da partidaVitória visitante40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Covilhã win (26.2%)Dupla ChanceX273.8%1.36
Acima 27% · Abaixo 73%Goals 2.5Abaixo73%1.37
Sim 34% · Não 66%Ambas as equipes marcamNão66%1.52
1.79 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
10.1 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
Sporting Covilhã win26%3.85
Empate34%2.94
Atlético CP win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting Covilhã0.71

Mandante share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 27% · Abaixo 73%

Atlético CP1.08

Visitante share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 34% · Não 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Sporting Covilhã

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Atlético CP

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.71
Expected goals
1.08
Sporting CovilhãAtlético CP
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting Covilhã signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atlético CP signalMandante matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Sporting Covilhã vs Atlético CP FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting Covilhã ganhou 26%,Empate 34%,Atlético CP ganhou 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.79 · Acima 2.5 27% · Current selection Abaixo