Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
26% / 34% / 40%Match resultAway win40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Covilha win (26.2%)Double chanceX273.8%1.36
Over 27% · Under 73%Goals 2.5Under73%1.37
Yes 34% · No 66%Both teams scoreNo66%1.52
1.79 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.1 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Probability view
Forecast probabilities and fair odds
No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.
OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Sporting Covilha win26%3.85
Draw34%2.94
Atletico CP Lisbon win40%2.50
Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 39.7%
Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring
Dedicated goals model: Over 27% · Under 73%
Away share of expected goals 60.3%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 34% · No 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchSporting Covilha
DWDDL
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome unbeaten 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.40pts / matchAtletico CP Lisbon
DWLWL
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7
SignalHome matches under 2.5: 5/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
26%
Win probability excluding draw
40%6
Points from supplied form
70.71
Expected goals
1.08Sporting CovilhaAtletico CP Lisbon
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 34%.
Match questions
Sporting Covilha vs Atletico CP Lisbon FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Away win · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Sporting Covilha win 26%，Draw 34%，Atletico CP Lisbon win 40%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 1.79 · Over 2.5 27% · Current selection Under。