MatchFormula Spiel finden
Menu
UTC+8
ZeitzoneAsia/Shanghai
Deutsch
INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Sporting Covilha vs Atlético CP Lisbon

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score0–3Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg26%
Unentschieden34%
Auswärtssieg40%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Sporting CovilhaAtlético CP Lisbon
Expected goals1.79Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter73% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
26% / 34% / 40%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting Covilha win (26.2%)Doppelte ChanceX273.8%1.36
Über 27% · Unter 73%Goals 2.5Unter73%1.37
Ja 34% · Nein 66%Beide Teams treffenNein66%1.52
1.79 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Sporting Covilha win26%3.85
Unentschieden34%2.94
Atlético CP Lisbon win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sporting Covilha0.71

Heim share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 27% · Unter 73%

Atlético CP Lisbon1.08

Auswärts share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 34% · Nein 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sporting Covilha

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Atlético CP Lisbon

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.71
Expected goals
1.08
Sporting CovilhaAtlético CP Lisbon
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sporting Covilha signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Atlético CP Lisbon signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Sporting Covilha vs Atlético CP Lisbon FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sporting Covilha Gewinn 26%,Unentschieden 34%,Atlético CP Lisbon Gewinn 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.79 · Über 2.5 27% · Current selection Unter