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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score1–4Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg36%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg34%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 36% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pacos FerreiraVarzim
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter61% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
36% / 31% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Doppelte Chance1269.2%1.45
Über 39% · Unter 61%Goals 2.5Unter61%1.64
Ja 46% · Nein 54%Beide Teams treffenNein54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pacos Ferreira win36%2.782.5535%
Unentschieden31%3.232.8831%
Varzim win34%2.942.6334%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pacos Ferreira1.16

Heim share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 39% · Unter 61%

Varzim1.09

Auswärts share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nein 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Pacos Ferreira

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Varzim

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.16
Expected goals
1.09
Pacos FerreiraVarzim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pacos Ferreira signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Varzim signalAuswärts unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pacos Ferreira Gewinn 36%,Unentschieden 31%,Varzim Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Über 2.5 39% · Current selection Unter