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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim

Prediction review

Domáci form
Final score1–4Predpoveď 1–1
Hostia form
Výhra domácich36%
Remíza31%
Výhra hostí34%
Market-based forecastVýhra domácichTier B · 36% selection probability
Prediction Neúspešná
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pacos FerreiraVarzim
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menej61% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúNie54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
36% / 31% / 34%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Dvojitá šanca1269.2%1.45
Viac 39% · Menej 61%Goals 2.5Menej61%1.64
Áno 46% · Nie 54%Oba tímy skórujúNie54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
9.4 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimŽiadny
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pacos Ferreira win36%2.782.5535%
Remíza31%3.232.8831%
Varzim win34%2.942.6334%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pacos Ferreira1.16

Domáci share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Viac 39% · Menej 61%

Varzim1.09

Hostia share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 46% · Nie 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Pacos Ferreira

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Varzim

2.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Body11

SignalHostia unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Výhra probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.16
Expected goals
1.09
Pacos FerreiraVarzim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pacos Ferreira signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Varzim signalHostia unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pacos Ferreira výhra 36%,Remíza 31%,Varzim výhra 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Viac 2.5 39% · Current selection Menej