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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score1–4Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa36%
Pareggio31%
Vittoria ospite34%
Market-based forecastVittoria casaTier B · 36% selection probability
Prediction Perso
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Pacos FerreiraVarzim
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto61% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
36% / 31% / 34%Esito partitaVittoria casa36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Doppia Chance1269.2%1.45
Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%Goals 2.5Sotto61%1.64
Sì 46% · No 54%Entrambe le squadre segnanoNo54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.4 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimNessuno
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Pacos Ferreira win36%2.782.5535%
Pareggio31%3.232.8831%
Varzim win34%2.942.6334%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pacos Ferreira1.16

Casa share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 39% · Sotto 61%

Varzim1.09

Trasferta share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 46% · No 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Pacos Ferreira

0.80pts / match
Giocate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punti4

SignalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

Varzim

2.20pts / match
Giocate5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punti11

SignalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Vinta probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.16
Expected goals
1.09
Pacos FerreiraVarzim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pacos Ferreira signalCasa matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Varzim signalTrasferta unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Pacos Ferreira vs Varzim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pacos Ferreira vinta 36%,Pareggio 31%,Varzim vinta 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Sopra 2.5 39% · Current selection Sotto