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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Lusitano GC Evora vs CD Mafra

Prediction review

Casa form
Final score2–1Pronostico 1–1
Trasferta form
Vittoria casa37%
Pareggio30%
Vittoria ospite33%
Full model forecastVittoria casaTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Vinto
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVittoria casa37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitano GC EvoraCD Mafra
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Sotto55% for the selected side
Entrambe le squadre segnano51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Sotto 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelezioneProbabilitàQuote eque
37% / 30% / 33%Esito partitaVittoria casa37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Doppia Chance1270.3%1.42
Sopra 45% · Sotto 55%Goals 2.5Sotto55%1.82
Sì 51% · No 49%Entrambe le squadre segnano51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsRisultato esatto1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCornerSotto 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapLusitano GC Evora winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronosticoQuote equeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitano GC Evora win37%2.702.3837.6%-0.6 pp
Pareggio30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
CD Mafra win33%3.032.7532.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitano GC Evora1.15

Casa share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Sopra 45% · Sotto 55%

CD Mafra1.33

Trasferta share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Casa-context · form sequence

Lusitano GC Evora

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

Trasferta-context · form sequence

CD Mafra

1.40pts / match
Giocate5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punti7

SignalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vinta probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.15
Expected goals
1.33
Lusitano GC EvoraCD Mafra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitano GC Evora signalCasa matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Mafra signalCasa clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Pareggio probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Lusitano GC Evora vs CD Mafra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vittoria casa · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitano GC Evora vinta 37%,Pareggio 30%,CD Mafra vinta 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Sopra 2.5 45% · Current selection Sotto