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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

ГК Луситано Еворa vs ФК Мафра

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score2–1Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев37%
Ничья30%
Победа гостей33%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Угадано
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ГК Луситано ЕворaФК Мафра
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше55% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
37% / 30% / 33%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Двойной шанс1270.3%1.42
Больше 45% · Меньше 55%Goals 2.5Меньше55%1.82
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.5 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapГК Луситано Еворa winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
ГК Луситано Еворa win37%2.702.3837.6%-0.6 pp
Ничья30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
ФК Мафра win33%3.032.7532.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ГК Луситано Еворa1.15

Хозяева share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 45% · Меньше 55%

ФК Мафра1.33

Гости share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ГК Луситано Еворa

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Мафра

1.40pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Баллы7

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.15
Expected goals
1.33
ГК Луситано ЕворaФК Мафра
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ГК Луситано Еворa signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Мафра signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

ГК Луситано Еворa vs ФК Мафра FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ГК Луситано Еворa выигрыш 37%,Ничья 30%,ФК Мафра выигрыш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · ТБ 2.5 45% · Current selection Меньше