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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Луситано Евора vs Мафра

Prediction review

Домакин form
Final score2–1Прогноза 1–1
Гост form
Победа за домакина37%
Равен30%
Победа за госта33%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Познат
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Луситано ЕвораМафра
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Под55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
37% / 30% / 33%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Двоен шанс1270.3%1.42
Над 45% · Под 55%Goals 2.5Под55%1.82
Да 51% · Не 49%И двата отбора да отбележатДа51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
9.5 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapЛуситано Евора winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Луситано Евора win37%2.702.3837.6%-0.6 pp
Равен30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
Мафра win33%3.032.7532.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Луситано Евора1.15

Домакин share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 45% · Под 55%

Мафра1.33

Гост share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Не 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Луситано Евора

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Мафра

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.15
Expected goals
1.33
Луситано ЕвораМафра
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Луситано Евора signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Мафра signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Луситано Евора vs Мафра FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Луситано Евора печеливш 37%,Равен 30%,Мафра печеливш 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Над 2.5 45% · Current selection Под