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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Lusitano GC Evora vs CD Mafra

Prediction review

Local form
Final score2–1Pronóstico 1–1
Visitante form
Victoria local37%
Empate30%
Victoria visitante33%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 37% selection probability
Prediction Acertado
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local37% selection probability
Projected score1–1Lusitano GC EvoraCD Mafra
Expected goals2.48Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Menos de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
37% / 30% / 33%Resultado del partidoVictoria local37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.7%)Doble Oportunidad1270.3%1.42
Más de 45% · Menos de 55%Goals 2.5Menos de55%1.82
Sí 51% · No 49%Ambos equipos marcan51%1.96
2.48 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
9.5 expected match cornersCórnersMenos de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapLusitano GC Evora winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Lusitano GC Evora win37%2.702.3837.6%-0.6 pp
Empate30%3.333.0029.8%+0.2 pp
CD Mafra win33%3.032.7532.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Lusitano GC Evora1.15

Local share of expected goals 46.4%

Total expected goals2.48Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 45% · Menos de 55%

CD Mafra1.33

Visitante share of expected goals 53.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 51% · No 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Lusitano GC Evora

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

CD Mafra

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Ganado probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.15
Expected goals
1.33
Lusitano GC EvoraCD Mafra
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Lusitano GC Evora signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02CD Mafra signalLocal clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Lusitano GC Evora vs CD Mafra FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Lusitano GC Evora ganada 37%,Empate 30%,CD Mafra ganada 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.48 · Más de 2.5 45% · Current selection Menos de