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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Пасуш де Феррейра vs Варзим

Prediction review

Хозяева form
Final score1–4Прогноз 1–1
Гости form
Победа хозяев36%
Ничья31%
Победа гостей34%
Market-based forecastПобеда хозяевTier B · 36% selection probability
Prediction Не угадано
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Пасуш де ФеррейраВарзим
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше61% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
36% / 31% / 34%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.8%)Двойной шанс1269.2%1.45
Больше 39% · Меньше 61%Goals 2.5Меньше61%1.64
Да 46% · Нет 54%Обе забьютНет54%1.85
2.25 total expected goalsТочный счёт1–1
9.4 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.0%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimНет
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Пасуш де Феррейра win36%2.782.5535%
Ничья31%3.232.8831%
Варзим win34%2.942.6334%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Пасуш де Феррейра1.16

Хозяева share of expected goals 51.6%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 39% · Меньше 61%

Варзим1.09

Гости share of expected goals 48.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 46% · Нет 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Пасуш де Феррейра

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Варзим

2.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Баллы11

SignalГости unbeaten 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
34%
4
Points from supplied form
11
1.16
Expected goals
1.09
Пасуш де ФеррейраВарзим
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Пасуш де Феррейра signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Варзим signalГости unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Пасуш де Феррейра vs Варзим FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Пасуш де Феррейра выигрыш 36%,Ничья 31%,Варзим выигрыш 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · ТБ 2.5 39% · Current selection Меньше