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INT Portugal Liga 3 · Final ·

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια vs Ατλέτικο CP Λισαβόνας

Prediction review

Γηπεδούχος form
Final score0–3Πρόβλεψη 1–1
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου26%
Ισοπαλία34%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου40%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 40% selection probability
Prediction Επιτυχία
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου40% selection probability
Projected score1–1Σπόρτινγκ ΚοβίλιαΑτλέτικο CP Λισαβόνας
Expected goals1.79Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω73% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
26% / 34% / 40%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου40%2.50
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια win (26.2%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX273.8%1.36
Άνω 27% · Κάτω 73%Goals 2.5Κάτω73%1.37
Ναι 34% · Όχι 66%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι66%1.52
1.79 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
10.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια win26%3.85
Ισοπαλία34%2.94
Ατλέτικο CP Λισαβόνας win40%2.50

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια0.71

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 39.7%

Total expected goals1.79Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 27% · Κάτω 73%

Ατλέτικο CP Λισαβόνας1.08

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 60.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 34% · Όχι 66%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Ατλέτικο CP Λισαβόνας

1.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Πόντοι7

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
26%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
40%
6
Points from supplied form
7
0.71
Expected goals
1.08
Σπόρτινγκ ΚοβίλιαΑτλέτικο CP Λισαβόνας
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ατλέτικο CP Λισαβόνας signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk60% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 34%.

Match questions

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια vs Ατλέτικο CP Λισαβόνας FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 40% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Σπόρτινγκ Κοβίλια νίκη 26%,Ισοπαλία 34%,Ατλέτικο CP Λισαβόνας νίκη 40%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.79 · Άνω 2.5 27% · Current selection Κάτω