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POL Польша - Лига I · Матч ·

Арка Гдыня vs Полония Бытом

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев51%
Ничья26%
Победа гостей24%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Арка ГдыняПолония Бытом
Expected goals3.24Открытие match profile
Goals 2.5Больше63% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Больше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
51% / 26% / 24%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Полония Бытом win (23.6%)Двойной шанс1X76.4%1.31
Больше 63% · Меньше 37%Goals 2.5Больше63%1.59
Да 59% · Нет 41%Обе забьютДа59%1.69
3.24 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
10.7 expected match cornersУгловыеБольше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapАрка Гдыня winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Арка Гдыня win51%1.961.8049.6%+1.4 pp
Ничья26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Полония Бытом win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Арка Гдыня2.16

Хозяева share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals3.24Открытие

Dedicated goals model: Больше 63% · Меньше 37%

Полония Бытом1.08

Гости share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Нет 41%Match profileОткрытие
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Арка Гдыня

1.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Баллы9

SignalХозяева won 3/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Полония Бытом

1.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Баллы5

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.16
Expected goals
1.08
Арка ГдыняПолония Бытом
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Арка Гдыня signalХозяева won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Полония Бытом signalХозяева clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Арка Гдыня vs Полония Бытом FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Арка Гдыня выигрыш 51%,Ничья 26%,Полония Бытом выигрыш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · ТБ 2.5 63% · Current selection Больше