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POL Pologne - I Liga · Match ·

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile51%
Nul26%
Victoire à l’extérieur24%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Arka GdyniaPolonia Bytom
Expected goals3.24Ouverture match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de63% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Plus de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
51% / 26% / 24%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Polonia Bytom win (23.6%)Double chance1X76.4%1.31
Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%Goals 2.5Plus de63%1.59
Oui 59% · Non 41%Les deux équipes marquentOui59%1.69
3.24 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
10.7 expected match cornersCornersPlus de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapArka Gdynia winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arka Gdynia win51%1.961.8049.6%+1.4 pp
Nul26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Polonia Bytom win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arka Gdynia2.16

Domicile share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals3.24Ouverture

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 63% · Moins de 37%

Polonia Bytom1.08

Extérieur share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 59% · Non 41%Match profileOuverture
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Arka Gdynia

1.80pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Points9

SignalDomicile won 3/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

1.00pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Points5

SignalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Gagné probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.16
Expected goals
1.08
Arka GdyniaPolonia Bytom
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arka Gdynia signalDomicile won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Polonia Bytom signalDomicile clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arka Gdynia victoire 51%,Nul 26%,Polonia Bytom victoire 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Plus de 2.5 63% · Current selection Plus de