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POL Polonia - I Liga · Partido ·

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local51%
Empate26%
Victoria visitante24%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Arka GdyniaPolonia Bytom
Expected goals3.24Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de63% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
51% / 26% / 24%Resultado del partidoVictoria local51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Polonia Bytom win (23.6%)Doble Oportunidad1X76.4%1.31
Más de 63% · Menos de 37%Goals 2.5Más de63%1.59
Sí 59% · No 41%Ambos equipos marcan59%1.69
3.24 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.7 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapArka Gdynia winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arka Gdynia win51%1.961.8049.6%+1.4 pp
Empate26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Polonia Bytom win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arka Gdynia2.16

Local share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals3.24Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 63% · Menos de 37%

Polonia Bytom1.08

Visitante share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 59% · No 41%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Arka Gdynia

1.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Puntos9

SignalLocal won 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Polonia Bytom

1.00pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Puntos5

SignalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Ganado probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.16
Expected goals
1.08
Arka GdyniaPolonia Bytom
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arka Gdynia signalLocal won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Polonia Bytom signalLocal clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Arka Gdynia vs Polonia Bytom FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arka Gdynia ganada 51%,Empate 26%,Polonia Bytom ganada 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Más de 2.5 63% · Current selection Más de