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POL Полша - Лига 1 · Мач ·

Арка Гдиня vs Полония Битом

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–13.24 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина51%
Равен26%
Победа за госта24%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина51% selection probability
Projected score2–1Арка ГдиняПолония Битом
Expected goals3.24Откриване match profile
Goals 2.5Над63% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
51% / 26% / 24%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Полония Битом win (23.6%)Двоен шанс1X76.4%1.31
Над 63% · Под 37%Goals 2.5Над63%1.59
Да 59% · Не 41%И двата отбора да отбележатДа59%1.69
3.24 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.7 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.0%Largest probability gapАрка Гдиня winDifference+1.4 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Арка Гдиня win51%1.961.8049.6%+1.4 pp
Равен26%3.853.4026.3%-0.3 pp
Полония Битом win24%4.173.7024.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Арка Гдиня2.16

Домакин share of expected goals 66.7%

Total expected goals3.24Откриване

Dedicated goals model: Над 63% · Под 37%

Полония Битом1.08

Гост share of expected goals 33.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 59% · Не 41%Match profileОткриване
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Арка Гдиня

1.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Точки9

SignalДомакин won 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Полония Битом

1.00pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Точки5

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
24%
9
Points from supplied form
5
2.16
Expected goals
1.08
Арка ГдиняПолония Битом
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Арка Гдиня signalДомакин won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Полония Битом signalДомакин clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Арка Гдиня vs Полония Битом FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Арка Гдиня печеливш 51%,Равен 26%,Полония Битом печеливш 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.24 · Над 2.5 63% · Current selection Над